Wall Street Journal/Zogby poll

For some reason, WSJ/Zogby isn't polling Rhode Island or Montana. These are likely Democratic pickups, and they are close races. Odd.

Of the races they do poll, there is one interesting point to make. Of all the Democratic pickup opportunities polled by WSJ/Zogby, Jim Webb has the biggest lead. That's right. Not Bob Casey (4%). Not Sherrod Brown (4%). Jim Webb leads by 7.5%. That is well outside the margin of error.

Republicans will immediately question the methodology, but there is a problem with that argument. George Allen was consistently polling ahead of his opponent for months, according to the same Zogby poll. Now that he has a real opponent and he has made a mistake or two, that lead has evaporated. The race is now likely tied, which bodes well for Webb, as undecideds will likely break toward the challengers/Democrats this fall.